Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1100.083180 1245.725537 1406.650011 1598.197000 1820.687501 2071.811408 2377.886082
2025-10-05 901.352481 1101.134580 1342.291761 1657.253299 2061.290821 2566.974167 3255.306345
2025-10-12 781.914448 1003.765411 1287.668037 1682.429750 2224.759526 2954.935435 4031.808407
2025-10-19 695.737885 928.935980 1241.616969 1699.082609 2364.128841 3316.160432 4820.168184
2025-10-26 629.424279 868.718392 1202.542230 1712.789640 2492.084969 3669.935873 5649.722420
2025-11-02 585.927998 833.271681 1190.978322 1760.182867 2670.388082 4118.471784 6701.746018
2025-11-09 543.264737 793.133702 1166.136163 1781.323256 2806.582760 4515.754610 7737.564493
2025-11-16 505.235840 755.251500 1139.342323 1793.892642 2927.198471 4900.801312 8820.616089
2025-11-23 473.782372 723.926911 1118.632372 1812.283461 3057.589067 5319.008659 10044.723739
2025-11-30 448.872359 700.269688 1107.186207 1843.736374 3213.304331 5804.564449 11500.023062
2025-12-07 412.313352 654.152700 1053.787913 1794.869578 3213.389543 5990.679475 12360.915809
2025-12-14 379.215650 610.960266 1001.248481 1741.321880 3196.564816 6138.542050 13164.645522
2025-12-21 347.218723 567.845487 946.360169 1680.016944 3161.592095 6254.130095 13946.952989
2025-12-28 336.665551 561.074506 955.211953 1740.783436 3382.393692 6953.963401 16326.468492
2026-01-04 322.179633 545.982371 947.335611 1767.547495 3535.311468 7529.538464 18542.753485
2026-01-11 307.772955 529.770135 935.737021 1785.176660 3670.468488 8087.597358 20866.876224
2026-01-18 294.223208 513.995880 923.431965 1799.693945 3800.360955 8656.257066 23387.043633
2026-01-25 285.889875 507.273002 927.878218 1849.895673 4019.790962 9491.197091 26973.501989
2026-02-01 275.060377 494.904246 920.005529 1872.292917 4176.091932 10192.320267 30367.384713
2026-02-08 264.093075 481.420328 908.674816 1885.610763 4311.954077 10865.231062 33899.829398
2026-02-15 254.520941 469.965189 900.488047 1905.098255 4466.421789 11622.690819 38011.939280
2026-02-22 246.866467 461.772459 898.370684 1938.431031 4662.277065 12543.822716 43103.366996
2026-03-01 232.236624 438.401837 862.173603 1886.645908 4621.755956 12738.484284 45384.682774